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Election 2019: How Did the Polls Get It So Wrong?

It happened in America. It happened in Sri Lanka. It happened in Israel and the United Kingdom … twice. Now it has happened in Australia. What is the ‘it?’ The ‘it’ is called ‘an upset’ or ‘shock’ election result. All this … and more … within the last four years. Even if you are not Australian or understand Australian politics, there is a lesson for everyone, including in the British, Americans, and the rest of the world. Election 2019 in Australia may be a foretaste of greater shock elections to come. Let’s learn why? Australians went to the polls for the May 18, 2019 federal election. The governing party, the Liberal-National Coalition (from henceforth called ‘Coalition’), which, despite the name, is meant to be the conservative party, was trailing in every poll for the last two years, often by double-digits. The left-of-centre opposition Labor Party was tipped to win the election and form   government. Not only did the regular opinion polls support them but also th...